Observational analysis demonstrates time-dependent magnitude shifts alter completeness, b-values, and aftershock productivity in New Zealand earthquakes, highlighting risks of catalogue heterogeneity.
Earthquake catalogues commonly integrate heterogeneous magnitude scales whose relationships evolve in time and space, introducing systematic biases in statistical seismology. Here I quantify the impact of magnitude-scale heterogeneity using the GeoNet earthquake catalogue (New Zealand, 2003–2025). I develop a time-dependent magnitude homogenization framework based on moment tensor solutions, deriving a proxy moment magnitude Mw* M w ∗ through sliding-window regressions. The relationship between catalogue magnitude and moment magnitude is strongly non-stationary, with significant temporal variations in both slope and intercept, as well as spatial differences across tectonic domains. These variations propagate directly into seismicity metrics. When evaluated on a common magnitude scale, the magnitude of completeness Mc M c is systematically higher than that inferred from the original catalogue, with local discrepancies exceeding one magnitude unit. Similarly, when both estimates are expressed on a common homogenized magnitude scale, residual b-value differences are generally modest but temporally and spatially structured, indicating that a substantial fraction of the apparent discrepancy is explained by the non-stationary magnitude transformation itself. The strongest effects are observed in clustering properties: although aftershock productivity follows an exponential scaling with magnitude in both representations, homogenized magnitudes yield a steeper productivity exponent (α ≈ 1.08 vs. 1.01) and a reduced branching proxy. These results demonstrate that magnitude heterogeneity introduces coherent, scale-dependent distortions in completeness, b -value, and clustering metrics, potentially leading to misinterpretation of seismicity patterns if not explicitly accounted for.
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Antonino D’Alessandro (2026) studied this question.
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