International Comparisons of Cumulative Risk of Oesophagus Cancer, from Cancer Incidence in Five Continents Vol. VIII

Cumulative risk of oesophagus cancer (ICD-10: C15) incidence at age 69 was calculated with the data from Cancer Incidence in Five Continents Vol. VIII (1). Cumulative risk is defined as the probability that an individual will develop the disease in question during a certain age span, in the absence of other competing causes of death. The comparisons of the cumulative risk of oesophagus cancer incidence among 22 registries (and ethnic groups) are shown in Fig. 1. Males showed higher cumulative incidence risk of oesophagus cancer compared with females in all registries. In males, Miyagi (Japan) and Bas-Rhin (France) showed remarkably high cancer risk while Korean in Los Angeles and Florence (Italy) showed low cancer risk. In East Asia, Miyagi, Nagasaki and Osaka (Japan) showed higher cancer risk than Seoul (Korea) and Shanghai (China) and a similar pattern was observed between immigrants in Los Angeles (USA). In the United States, black (SEER) showed twice higher risk than white (SEER). In Western regions, Bas-Rhin (France) showed the highest cancer risk while Florence (Italy) and Sweden showed relatively low risk. In females, USA-black (SEER) and Shanghai (China) showed high cumulative risk. East Asian immigrants in the United States had a lower cumulative incidence as compared with East Asian people living in their homeland. In United States, black (SEER) showed higher risk than white (SEER) as in the case with men. In Western regions, South Thames and West Midlands (UK England) showed the highest cancer risk.