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September 12, 2026BMC Emergency MedicineOpen Access

The role of early warning scores in predicting envenomation severity and adverse clinical outcomes in snake bites

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Authors

ÇBÇağrı Safa BuyurganAYAyşe YılmazSBSeyran Bozkurt

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Overview

Retrospective observational study finds early warning scores predict envenomation severity but poorly forecast adverse outcomes in snakebite patients, suggesting complementary clinical utility.

Key Points

  • To evaluate whether standard early warning scores (RAPS, REMS, MEWS, WPSS, and NEWS) can accurately predict envenomation severity and adverse clinical outcomes in emergency department snakebite patients.
  • Retrospective observational study of consecutive patients (N=84) presenting with snakebites to a university hospital emergency department between 2014 and 2024.
  • Evaluated adverse clinical outcomes—defined as the need for high-dose antivenom, blood product transfusion, and prolonged hospitalization—using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.
  • For distinguishing Grade 2–3 envenomation severity, scores demonstrated high discriminatory value: WPSS (AUC: 0.890 [95% CI: 0.762–0.963]), MEWS (AUC: 0.854 [95% CI: 0.718–0.940]), NEWS (AUC: 0.852 [95% CI: 0.716–0.939]), and RAPS (AUC: 0.750 [95% CI: 0.600–0.866]).
  • Predictive performance was weak across all adverse clinical outcomes (all p < 0.05), with AUCs of 0.613–0.687 for high-dose antivenom, 0.669–0.680 for blood transfusion, and 0.629–0.674 for prolonged hospital stay.
  • Among all patients, 47.6% required ward admission and 34.5% required intensive care unit admission, with no reported deaths.

Cite This Study

Buyurgan et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aa51ed4327956e4761f8b4ehttps://doi.org/10.1186/s12873-026-01767-6
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