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September 14, 2026Discover EnvironmentOpen Access

Machine learning based precipitation modeling using multi satellite data for climate resilient water resource management in Bundelkhand India

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Authors

PKPavan KumarMPMegha PaulPSPrashant K. Srivastava

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Overview

Comparative modeling study demonstrates superior rainfall prediction using extreme gradient boosting over neural networks, highlighting viable climate tools for data-scarce regions.

Key Points

  • To develop and evaluate a multi-source, satellite-driven machine learning framework for precipitation prediction and to identify key climatic drivers in data-scarce semi-arid environments.
  • Trained Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN) and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) algorithms using satellite-derived inputs, including land surface temperature, atmospheric moisture, surface pressure, wind speed, relative humidity, and soil wetness.
  • Evaluated model accuracy using standard statistical error metrics and assessed predictor importance via interpretable machine learning techniques.
  • XGBoost demonstrated superior predictive accuracy over CNN, achieving R2 = 0.77, RMSE = 88.79, and MAE = 42.06, compared to R2 = 0.60, RMSE = 120.82, and MAE = 73.46 for CNN.
  • Interpretability analysis revealed that soil wetness, land surface temperature, and atmospheric moisture serve as the primary variables controlling precipitation variability.

Cite This Study

Kumar et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aa7b26d0926e14a848b0d76https://doi.org/10.1007/s44274-026-01047-x
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