Key result
AI-ECG detects severe rheumatic heart disease from standard 12-lead ECGs with ~84% accuracy.
Why the study?
RHD remains prevalent in developing countries, creating a critical need for an efficient, affordable, and accessible screening strategy in resource-limited areas.
Does an artificial intelligence-enhanced 12-lead ECG accurately detect severe rheumatic heart disease in adults?
Case-Control (n=3,119)
No
Does an artificial intelligence-enhanced 12-lead ECG accurately detect severe rheumatic heart disease in adults?
Effect estimate: AUC 0.890 (95% CI 0.848-0.940)
An AI-enhanced 12-lead ECG can accurately detect severe rheumatic heart disease, providing a potentially scalable and affordable screening tool for resource-limited areas.
May aid severe RHD detection via standard ECG in endemic areas; leaves open prospective validation before screening use.
Aims: Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) remains the most prevalent acquired cardiovascular disease among young adults in developing countries, and there is a critical need for an efficient, affordable, and available screening strategy to detect RHD in these resource-limited areas. The 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is a ubiquitous, inexpensive diagnostic tool, and application of artificial intelligence to the ECG (AI-ECG) has allowed for screening of various cardiovascular pathologies. Methods and results: Patients aged >18 years with severe RHD with at least one transthoracic echocardiogram and one standard 12-lead ECG performed at Groote Schuur Hospital, Cape Town, within 180 days of each other were eligible. A total of 920 RHD patients were identified, with 2199 corresponding controls from the same medical centre. Patients were allocated to derivation (80%), validation (10%), and testing (10%) groups, respectively. The AI-ECG to detect RHD from a standard 12-lead ECG was built using the Keras framework under Tensorflow backend. In the test group, the AI-ECG for RHD exhibited strong algorithm performance with an AUC of 0.890 (95% Confidence Interval 0.848-0.940) and an accuracy of 83.8%. The algorithm remained robust between RHD presentation: mitral valve alone (AUC 0.913) and mixed mitral and aortic valve disease (AUC 0.858). There were minor performance differences in the subgroup analysis of patient sex, age, and ECG characteristics. Conclusion: In this study, an AI-ECG algorithm was successfully developed to screen for advanced RHD from a standard 12-lead ECG, and the AI-ECG performance remained acceptable across most subgroups, including RHD manifestation, patient sex, age <70 years, and ECG characteristics.
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Bhorat et al. (2025) conducted a case-control in Rheumatic heart disease (n=3,119). Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiogram (AI-ECG) vs. Controls from the same medical centre was evaluated on Detection of rheumatic heart disease from a standard 12-lead ECG (AUC 0.890, 95% CI 0.848-0.940). An AI-ECG algorithm successfully detected severe rheumatic heart disease from a standard 12-lead ECG with an AUC of 0.890 (95% CI 0.848-0.940) and an accuracy of 83.8%.
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