Key result
Ferguson pulmonary risk score predicts major pulmonary complications after oesophagectomy with 76% accuracy.
Why the study?
Pulmonary complications remain a frequent cause of morbidity after oesophagectomy, and external validation of the Ferguson pulmonary risk score is needed to assess its predictive accuracy.
Does the Ferguson pulmonary risk score accurately predict major pulmonary complications in patients undergoing oesophagectomy for cancer?
Population
136 patients undergoing oesophagectomy for cancer with complete Ferguson risk score variables
Comparison
Ferguson pulmonary risk score prediction vs observed major pulmonary complications
Design
Institutional cohort study for external validation
Follow-up
Postoperative period
Authors
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May aid preoperative risk stratification; extends Ferguson score validation but prospective confirmation needed before adoption.
Cohort (n=136)
No
Does the Ferguson pulmonary risk score accurately predict major pulmonary complications in patients undergoing oesophagectomy for cancer?
Effect estimate: accuracy 76%
p-value: p=< 0.0001
The Ferguson pulmonary risk score is a reliable tool for predicting major pulmonary complications after oesophagectomy, with an accuracy of 76%.
Reinersman et al. (2015) conducted a cohort in oesophagectomy for cancer (n=136). Ferguson pulmonary risk score was evaluated on major pulmonary complications (need for reintubation for respiratory failure and pneumonia) (accuracy 76%, p=< 0.0001). The Ferguson pulmonary risk score accurately predicted major pulmonary complications after oesophagectomy with an accuracy of 76% (P < 0.0001).
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