Probabilistic Two-Phase Aircraft Wake Vortex Model: Application and Assessment

Predictions of the parametric probabilistic two-phase aircraft wake-vortex transport and decay model P2P are compared with field observations. The two-phase decay model predicts probabilistic wake-vortex behavior as a function of aircraft and environmental parameters in real time. Observation data from field deployments accomplished at the International Airports Memphis and Dallas Fort Worth and from the WakeOP campaign performed at the airfield in Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany, are employed. In a scoring procedure, the predictive capabilities of a deterministic version of P2P are compared to Sarpkaya's model