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September 17, 2026Management Science

Crossborder Carbon Taxes and Shareholder Wealth

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Authors

MAMarta AlonsoMJMartin JacobGOGaizka Ormazábal

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Overview

Event study reveals negative stock returns for European purchasers under carbon border adjustment policies, indicating equity markets expect crossborder carbon pricing to hurt domestic firms.

Key Points

  • To examine how the introduction of crossborder carbon taxes, specifically the European Union Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, affects shareholder wealth across purchasing and producing firms.
  • Conducted an event study analyzing stock price reactions to key regulatory announcements regarding the European Union Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM).
  • Performed cross-sectional analyses comparing European Union purchasers of covered goods against non-European producers, accounting for supply chain locations, anticipated compliance costs, and cost pass-through capabilities.
  • European Union purchasers of CBAM-covered products exhibited significantly lower stock returns than non-European producers following regulatory announcements.
  • Negative valuation effects were most severe among European purchasers maintaining non-EU supply chains.
  • Market penalties were qualitatively larger for firms facing higher CBAM-related expenses and those possessing lower pricing power to pass carbon costs onto trading partners.

Cite This Study

Alonso et al. (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6aabb8045f706d05830e76c1https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2024.07171
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