Key result
CROS > 28 is linked to a ~40% rate of 24-month recoarctation versus 1% in lower scores.
Why the study?
Does a higher Composite Residual Obstruction Score (CROS) predict 24-month recoarctation in pediatric patients after aortic coarctation repair?
Cohort (n=126)
No
Does a higher Composite Residual Obstruction Score (CROS) predict 24-month recoarctation in pediatric patients after aortic coarctation repair?
Effect estimate: AUC 0.927 (95% CI 0.790-1.000)
Absolute Event Rate: 40% vs 1.4%
Absolute Risk Reduction: 38.6%
A novel Composite Residual Obstruction Score (CROS) effectively integrates collinear hemodynamic indices to predict 24-month recoarctation risk in pediatric patients after aortic coarctation repair.
May aid post-repair risk stratification in pediatrics; hypothesis-generating and requires prospective validation.
Background/Objectives: This retrospective descriptive real-world study aimed to characterize clinical features and factors associated with recoarctation in children with coarctation of the aorta (CoA) and develop a composite metric to quantify postoperative residual aortic obstruction burden. Methods: We retrospectively enrolled 126 pediatric CoA patients (98 surgical, 28 interventional) from January 2012 to December 2025. Baseline, perioperative and follow-up data were analyzed descriptively only, without therapeutic comparison. Univariate Cox and 24-month logistic regression screened for potential correlates of recurrent obstruction. Multicollinearity among hemodynamic indicators was assessed, and the Composite Residual Obstruction Score (CROS) derived from principal component analysis (PCA) was developed to mitigate collinearity bias. Results: Baseline characteristics differed substantially between treatment groups. Rates of postoperative hypertension and recoarctation were similar. Patients with recoarctation exhibited heavier preoperative and postoperative hemodynamic burden and higher hypertension prevalence. Recoarctation rates varied by CoA subtype, though intergroup differences were not statistically significant (p = 0.1518). Hypertension and abnormal hemodynamic indices were associated with higher recoarctation risk. The CROS was generated from four discharge hemodynamic variables; the first principal component explained 49% of variance. The CROS showed strong discriminative ability for 24-month recoarctation (AUC = 0.927; 40.0% for CROS > 28 versus 1.4% for CROS ≤ 28). Conclusions: Postoperative hypertension and residual obstruction measured by the CROS were associated with elevated recoarctation risk in children with CoA. As an internally derived exploratory tool from a single-center cohort with limited recoarctation events (n = 20), the CROS integrates collinear hemodynamic indices to facilitate risk evaluation and reduce multicollinearity bias. The CROS cut-off value of 28 is population-specific for the present cohort and should not be interpreted as a well-established universal clinical threshold.
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Huang et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Coarctation of the aorta (CoA) (n=126). Composite Residual Obstruction Score (CROS) > 28 vs. CROS ≤ 28 was evaluated on 24-month recoarctation (AUC 0.927, 95% CI 0.790-1.000). A Composite Residual Obstruction Score (CROS) > 28 was associated with a 40.0% risk of 24-month recoarctation compared to 1.4% for CROS ≤ 28 (AUC 0.927).
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