Earnings expectations of “First-in Family” university students and their role for major choice

This is the authors' abstract. We don't add key points for this paper.

How do students’ earnings expectations differ by being the first in their family to attend university (FiF) and how do they affect field of study choice? We leverage unique survey and administrative data to document sizable gaps in expected earnings between FiF and non-FiF students. Our data can explain two-thirds of this gap, with the largest share attributable to field of study choice. We show that FiF students sort less into study fields based on their earnings expectations. Investigating potential explanations, we find that in high-earning fields, FiF students expect lower own ability and worse non-wage amenities than non-FiF students. • First-in-their-family (FiF) students expect lower earnings than non-FiF students. • Expected earnings matter less for FiF than for non-FiF students’ sorting into majors. • Differences in sorting on expected earnings are driven by expectations about ability.