Global prevalence of prediabetes in children and adolescents: A systematic review and meta‐analysis

BACKGROUND: Prediabetes is a pivotal risk factor for developing diabetes. This meta-analysis was performed to assess the global prevalence of childhood prediabetes. METHODS: A systematic search was conducted for studies of prediabetes prevalence in the general pediatric population from inception until December 2021. Random-effects meta-analysis was used to combine the data. Variations in the prevalence estimates in different subgroups (age group, sex, setting, investigation period, body mass index [BMI] group, family history of diabetes, diagnosis criteria, World Health Organization [WHO] and World Bank [WB] regions) were examined by subgroup meta-analysis. RESULTS: A total of 48 studies were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled prevalence was 8.84% (95% CI, 6.74%-10.95%) for prediabetes in childhood. Subgroup meta-analyses showed that the prevalence was higher in males than females (8.98% vs 8.74%, P < .01), in older compared to younger children (7.56% vs. 2.51%, p < 0.01), in urban compared to rural areas (6.78% vs. 2.47, p < 0.01), and higher in children with a family history of diabetes than in those without such a history (7.59% vs. 6.80%, p < 0.01). We observed an upward trend in prediabetes prevalence from 0.93% to 10.66% over past decades (p < 0.01). The pooled prevalence increased from 7.64% to 14.27% with increased BMI (p < 0.01). Pooled prevalence was the lowest for criterion A among different diagnosis criteria (p < 0.01). For WHO and WB regions, the European Region and high-income countries yielded the lowest pooled prevalence (p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated prediabetes prevalence in childhood reaches an alarming level. Intensive lifestyle modification is needed to improve the prediabetes epidemic.