Failed Target Weight Achievement Associates with Short-Term Hospital Encounters among Individuals Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis

Background Hospitalizations and 30-day readmissions are common in the hemodialysis population. Actionable clinical markers for near-term hospital encounters are needed to identify individuals who require swift intervention to avoid hospitalization. Aspects of volume management, such as failed target weight (i.e, estimated dry weight) achievement, are plausible modifiable indicators of impending adverse events. The short-term consequences of failed target weight achievement are not well established. Methods Statistically deidentified data were taken from a cohort of Medicare-enrolled, prevalent hemodialysis patients treated at a large dialysis organization from 2010 to 2012. We used a retrospective cohort design with repeated intervals, each consisting of 180-day baseline, 30-day exposure assessment, and 30-day follow-up period, to estimate the associations between failed target weight achievement and the risk of 30-day emergency department visits and hospitalizations. We estimated adjusted risk differences using inverse probability of exposure weighted Kaplan–Meier methods. Results A total of 113,561 patients on hemodialysis contributed 788,722 study intervals to analyses. Patients who had a postdialysis weight >1.0 kg above the prescribed target weight in ≥30% (versus <30%) of exposure period treatments had a higher absolute risk (risk difference) of 30-day: emergency department visits (2.13%; 95% confidence interval, 2.00% to 2.32%); and all-cause (1.47%; 95% confidence interval, 1.34% to 1.62%), cardiovascular (0.31%; 95% confidence interval, 0.24% to 0.40%), and volume-related (0.15%; 95% confidence interval, 0.11% to 0.21%) hospitalizations. Conclusions In the absence of objective measures of volume status, recurrent failure to achieve target weight is an easily identifiable clinical risk marker for impending hospital encounters among patients on hemodialysis.