An abnormal early intrapartum cardiotocogram was found to have a sensitivity of 26.4% and a positive predictive value of 28.3% for the detection of fetal acidaemia at birth and a sensitivity of 27.3% and a positive predictive value of 3.3% for the prediction of 5-minute Apgar scores below 7. The presence of meconium in the liquor amnii improved the predictive properties of the test. Although an abnormal early intrapartum feta heart rate pattern indicated a higher risk group, the majority of patients with abnormal early intrapartum cardiograms had a favourable outcome. A normal pattern does not exclude an adverse outcome.
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Mark P. Umstad (1993) studied this question.
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