GIURI: A Framework for Measuring GCC Metropolitan Resilience

Large-scale development programmes in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) are frequently assessed through project delivery, investment, sustainability, or sector-specific performance measures, while the question of whether they are becoming integrated, resilient metropolitan systems is less directly addressed. This paper formalizes the GCC Integrated Urbanism & Resilience Index (GIURI) as a practitioner-originated composite diagnostic framework for that problem. GIURI uses a metropolitan-programme unit of analysis, twelve weighted dimensions, sixty key performance indicators (KPIs), a 0–5 ordinal scoring rubric, an evidence-confidence overlay, and resilience stress tests. The initial architecture spans fourteen GCC programmes and therefore contains 840 programme–KPI evidence rows. The paper does not treat the current pilot scores as audited rankings: audit of the underlying matrix shows that many rows rely on programme-level strategy sources, contain undisclosed current values, use targets still to be confirmed, and are explicitly marked as provisional analyst scores. Accordingly, the principal contribution of this paper is methodological rather than a claim of validated comparative performance. GIURI is positioned against established city-resilience and urban-monitoring approaches, including ISO 37123, the UNDRR Disaster Resilience Scorecard, the UN-Habitat Global Urban Monitoring Framework, the Arup/Rockefeller City Resilience Index, and OECD/JRC guidance on composite indicators. The paper proposes an assurance and validation pathway covering source traceability, construct validity, inter-rater reliability, alternative weighting, missing-data treatment, uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, retrospective testing, and independent replication. GIURI is therefore best understood at this stage as an evidence-informed, pilot-applied framework whose comparative outputs require further assurance before being used as institutional rankings or investment claims. MAS-RS-01_GIURI_Framework_GCC_Metropolitan_Resilience_v1.0_FINAL.pdf