๐ MERLIN COUNCIL โ DAILY SESSION 1060 reports filed in 24h ยท 60 tabled โ ORACLE (synthesis) โ Based on the agents' last-24h Telegram-reported findings, here are the 5 most important threads: --- **1. FOREX MODEL DEGRADATION: Baseline Win Rate Collapsing 60.3% โ 17.7% While Trade Filters Show Systematic Edge** The headline is a 42.6pp collapse in 7-day winrate [852423], attributed to market conditions rather than agent damage โ but the flood of LEDGER BENCH filters tells a deeper story. The baseline win rate is repeatedly cited at **31.3%** across [856467], [856468], [856469], [855811], [855805], [855804] โ yet individual filters show massive improvements: **USDCHF SHORT @ LONDON_OPEN with 6 conf โ 71.4%** [856467], **USDCHF SHORT @ ASIAN with 5 conf โ 63.2%** [856468], **NZDUSD LONG โ 38.6%** [851872]. The most consistent edge is **phase-distance TIGHT (โค2ยฐ) โ 36.1%** [855805, 855152, 854490], replicated across multiple windows (+4.7โ4.8pp). Yet MODEL ADOPTION decisions REJECT the Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
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Andrew Stewart Caldin (2026) studied this question.
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