We believe the economy was much on voters' minds in the 2008 presidential election. More formally, a traditional economic retrospective voting theory—electors disapprove of past economic conditions and vote against the government—should serve well as an explanation of Obama's victory (Fiorina 1981; Lewis-Beck 1988, 34).
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Lewis‐Beck et al. (2009) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 5 related papers. Consider them for comparative context: