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ChaCha is a widely deployed ARX stream cipher used in modern secure-communication protocols. Reduced-round cryptanalysis assesses its security margin and tests automated methods without implying a threat to the full 20-round cipher. We combine MILP search, GPU correlation estimation, and MIQCP-based prediction. MILP finds 128 one-round differential characteristics and enumerates 61 paths whose differential weights are at most 14. GPU measurements resolve 39 paths, whose signed weighted sum is 2-31.16 2 - 31.16 . Following the widely used practical strategy of truncated enumeration of dominant paths, this value gives 7- and 7.5-round distinguisher data complexities of 2160.20 2 160.20 and 2245.00 2 245.00 . Applying the same four-round estimate to ReBitP gives data/time complexities of 2125.91/2140.00 2 125.91 / 2 140.00 and 2122.96/2241.31 2 122.96 / 2 241.31 . The MIQCP comparison quantifies substantial gaps between predicted and measured correlation weights and identifies concrete directions for refining ChaCha correlation models. Together, these results provide a reproducible path-cluster analysis, lower data and time complexity estimates for 7- and 7.5-round ChaCha, and experimentally grounded directions for automated correlation estimation.
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Liu et al. (2026) studied this question.
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