IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 6 — improves win rate from 32.5% to 38.2% (+5.6pp, n=836) SAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a minimum 6-confirmation filter would have eliminated the two `wkjudas` entries (GBPUSD LONG and USDJPY SHORT, both closed as losses) and the `rizzy7m` AUDUSD SHORT (loss), since these likely entered with fewer confirmations. It would also have blocked the `rizzy5m` AUDUSD SHORT that was REJECTED/open, but that trade was already not counted. Removing three losses from the ten listed trades would shift the live window win rate from roughly 30% (3 wins/10) to 50% (3 wins/6), a clear positive delta. However, the filter would not have saved the XAUUSD or NZDUSD losses from `rizzy5m`, so the improvement is real but not universal. OVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, the +5.6pp win-rate gain in backtests suggests the filter removes low-conviction entries that often fail on momentum fade or early r Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
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