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Target trial emulation has contributed to improvements in the design and interpretation of observational studies aimed at causal inference. By encouraging researchers to think explicitly about the design of a hypothetical randomized trial, it has helped identify and address avoidable design flaws. However, the framework cannot overcome biases and limitations inherent in observational data. Despite the aim of emulating a randomized trial, observational data cannot reproduce random treatment assignment or blinding, and may not necessarily provide greater generalizability than a randomized trial. Thus, the term "emulation" may imply a degree of similarity to a randomized trial that observational data cannot realistically achieve and deserves critical reconsideration to better reflect the limitations of observational data.
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Priya Vart (2026) studied this question.
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