Firewalls in the non-perturbative bulk Hilbert space of JT gravity

A bstract It has been shown that a very old black hole can tunnel into a white hole through the emission of a large baby universe. This process can be modeled by a genus-one geometry corresponding to a single baby universe emission, with a tunneling probability proportional to t 2 e −2 S ( E ) , where t denotes the black hole age and S ( E ) its entropy at energy E . The growth of this probability at late times raises the question of its behavior near t ~ e S . A natural possibility is that the full genus expansion, together with its non-perturbative completion, leads to saturation of the tunneling probability. Motivated by this idea, the present analysis employs a non-perturbative bulk inner product in place of the perturbative one and shows that, at late times, the probabilities of realizing firewall geometries and smooth geometries approach constant values.