DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: No single rule survives — the +4.1pp win-rate gain is not proven to be an edge independent of trade frequency, R:R distribution, or signal-source mix. The filter is a blunt instrument that does not align with E8 geometry timing (which already encodes confirmation rhythm via Gods-Clock). EXPECTED IMPACT: If adopted, win rate may rise ~3-4pp, but total profit likely falls 10-20% due to 15-25% fewer trades — especially if removed trades include late-closing high-RR winners (common in FADE polarity). Net risk-adjusted return is likely neutral-to-negative. RISK: (1) Frequency drop reduces compounding and capital efficiency. (2) The 6-confirmation threshold is broker/feed-dependent — eToro delays differ from backtest data, so the filter may reject valid E8 entries during fast moves. (3) The win-rate gap may be concentrated in one signal source (e.g., rizzy5m) — applying globally would dilute the edge. (4) Market microstructure shifts could make the threshold s Author: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com
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Andrew Stewart Caldin (2026) studied this question.
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