Obstetric referral ambulance routing in rural areas must balance travel time against the risk that a cellular handover failure severs voice contact between the crew and the receiving facility. the present analysis formulates the routing problem as a constrained multi-objective optimisation in which the decision-maker selects a path that minimises expected arrival time subject to a dropped-call probability constraint that varies along the route. Because handover failure rates are spatially heterogeneous and only partially observable, the formulation treats the dropped-call probability as an uncertain parameter drawn from a bounded interval, and it derives a robust counterpart that guarantees constraint satisfaction for all admissible handover profiles. A computed evaluation was conducted using a before-after-control-impact design with between-cluster standard deviation 6.0, residual standard deviation 4.5, and intraclass correlation 0.64; power was estimated across 2000 replications per design cell for cluster counts of 8, 16, 24 and 32 and effect sizes of 3, 5 and 8 percentage points. The analysis indicates that 54 clusters are required to detect a 5-percentage-point improvement at 80% power. The contribution is a routing formulation that makes the safety constraint explicit and a design analysis that quantifies the evidence burden of evaluating such a system in the field.
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Mavhunga et al. (2026) studied this question.
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