Key result
GrimAge epigenetic age acceleration is linked to ~31% higher ASCVD risk per 5-year increment.
Why the study?
Epigenetic clocks estimate biological age independently of chronological age and could be useful to assess cardiovascular risk, but evidence for their clinical utility remained limited.
Does epigenetic age acceleration measured by first- and second-generation epigenetic clocks predict atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in cohort study participants?
Meta-Analysis (n=29,009)
Does epigenetic age acceleration measured by first- and second-generation epigenetic clocks predict atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in cohort study participants?
Epigenetic age acceleration, particularly when measured by second-generation clocks like GrimAge and DNAmPhenoAge, is significantly associated with an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, supporting their potential use in cardiovascular risk assessment.
Introduction Epigenetic clocks are models based on biomarkers developed to estimate an individual’s biological age, independently of chronological age. These tools could eventually be useful to assess cardiovascular (CV) risk, but the evidence for their clinical utility remains limited. Material &Methods We conducted a systematic review of cohort studies reporting epigenetic clocks as exposure (with firstgeneration clocks Horvath and Hannum, and second-generation clocks PhenoAge and GrimAge) and ASCVD (atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease), including CVD incidents, coronary heart disease, and stroke as outcomes. We searched MEDLINE, Embase, and Google Scholar up to 01.08.2024. Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for each clock were extracted and standardized in 5-year increments. Pooled effect estimates were then derived using a random-effects meta-analysis. Results Of the 928 screened records, 18 were eligible for inclusion, of which 9 were included in the meta-analysis; this corresponds to a total of 29,009 participants, with 16,075 women (55.4%) and 3,445 ASCVD events. First-generation clocks showed modest associations. Six studies reported Horvath (N = 19,916, HR = 1.05, 95% CI = 1.02–1.08, I² = 0.1%), and seven reported Hannum (N = 26,916, HR = 1.08, 95% CI = 1.02– 1.14, I² = 64.7%). Second-generation clocks demonstrated stronger associations. Five studies reported GrimAge (N = 22,402, HR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.11–1.55, I² = 97.7%). Five studies reported DNAmPhenoAge (N = 22,402, HR = 1.14, 95% CI = 1.11–1.17, I² = 0.1%). Conclusion Epigenetic age acceleration measured using GrimAge is associated with an increased risk of CV disease. These findings support the potential utility of integrating epigenetic clocks into CV risk assessment or as potential surrogate markers in studies investigating interventions aimed at reducing CV risk.
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Saudan et al. (2026) conducted a meta-analysis in Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) (n=29,009). Epigenetic age acceleration (GrimAge, PhenoAge, Horvath, Hannum) vs. Per 5-year increment in epigenetic age acceleration was evaluated on Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD incidents, coronary heart disease, and stroke) (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.11-1.55). Epigenetic age acceleration measured by GrimAge was associated with an increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease per 5-year increment (HR 1.31; 95% CI 1.11–1.55).
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