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We prove Shi's conjecture that the number of left cells in the second lowest two-sided cell of the affine Weyl group attached to a simply connected simple complex group G is exactly |W₀|/2, where W₀ is the corresponding finite Weyl group. The same formula holds for the corresponding extended affine Weyl group. The key step is to show that the reductive centralizer in G of a minimal nilpotent element has identity component with simply connected derived subgroup and admits no nontrivial algebraic central extensions by Gₘ. This gives an isomorphism of based rings between the asymptotic ring of the extended cell and a matrix ring over the representation ring of the centralizer, with matrix size equal to the Euler characteristic of the Springer fiber, namely |W₀|/2.
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Xie et al. (2026) studied this question.
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