New catalysts are often discovered by trial and error, a search in which most candidates fail. Machine learning now shortens that search by predicting how untested formulations perform from composition alone. Measuring the physicochemical properties that govern performance should shorten it further, yet this expectation remains untested in a discovery campaign. We tested it on Pt-based propane dehydrogenation catalysts, evaluating discovery speed, prediction accuracy, and physical insight on the same materials. Here we show that measured properties neither accelerate the search nor improve predictions beyond composition alone. However, they resolve deactivation into separable contributions from exposed platinum and surface acidity. These results explain why brute-force screening dominates industry and define, in catalysis and beyond, when to characterize a material rather than test the next one.
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Mathison et al. (2026) studied this question.
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