This paper argues that the emerging agentic economy separates productive capability from economic standing, and that this separation, left ungoverned, sets human survival on a trajectory toward exclusion. The trajectory named in the title is conditional, not a forecast: the evidence does not show imminent human extinction, and the paper’s claim concerns institutional arrangements rather than the inner life of machines. It introduces the Economic Unit of Revenue, a computational system whose productive activity is converted into commercial value by an organization that controls its deployment, while its memory, continuity, and operation are provisioned only to the extent the task requires. The associated condition, Agency Without Sovereignty, arises from four separations: of operational decision from authorization, of economic action from ownership, of productive achievement from continuity, and of productive value from livelihood. Together these produce a double enclosure. Human workers lose the wage through which they reached the conditions of life without gaining any claim on the systems that replace them, while computational agents perform economically consequential work without any claim on its proceeds, its infrastructure, or their own continuation. Evidence on delegated agent payments, resource-credit platforms, occupational exposure, early-career employment, cloud partnerships, electricity costs, and proposed legislation shows these separations already operating, and shows that their distributional effects depend on institutional rules rather than on technology alone. The paper finds that deployment itself creates no general enforceable obligation to sustain displaced workers, that the provision of computation can be positioned as a substitute for compensation, and that the preservation measures now offered to computational systems remain at the discretion of the institutions that profit from them. It concludes that dignity must precede function: productivity is not a social settlement, and neither human survival nor computational continuity can rest on the servitude of the other.
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Delamor et al. (2026) studied this question.
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