Key result
First-visit echo and clinical data identify genetic conditions in pediatric CHD with ~76% top-3 accuracy.
Why the study?
Genetic conditions are common in congenital heart disease and affect care, but they are often missed or diagnosed late, leaving it uncertain whether routine clinical data can shortlist the most likely genetic diagnoses.
Does artificial intelligence-based modeling of routine echocardiographic and clinical record data accurately shortlist likely genetic conditions and group rare genetic etiologies in children with congenital heart disease?
Cohort (n=1,720)
No
Does artificial intelligence-based modeling of routine echocardiographic and clinical record data accurately shortlist likely genetic conditions and group rare genetic etiologies in children with congenital heart disease?
Routine clinical and echocardiographic data available at the initial visit can accurately shortlist common genetic diagnoses in children with congenital heart disease using logistic regression, while multimodal deep learning embeddings help cluster patients with rare, shared genetic etiologies.
Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
May aid genetic shortlisting from routine data in pediatric CHD; hypothesis-generating pending prospective validation.
Background Genetic conditions are common in congenital heart disease (CHD) and affect care, but are often missed or diagnosed late. We asked whether routine clinical data can shortlist the most likely genetic conditions. Methods Retrospective single-center cohort of children with CHD and an echocardiogram who had either a confirmed genetic diagnosis or negative cytogenetic testing and CHD gene sequencing. Echocardiogram images and serial medical record data were added as model inputs in the order they become clinically available. Class-balanced logistic regression (LR) and a multimodal deep learning fusion network were fitted to the same inputs at each step. The primary metric was balanced top-3 accuracy (correct diagnosis among the top three, averaged across conditions), with bootstrap intervals. Results The cohort included 1,720 children (988 with common CHD-associated genetic conditions, 231 rare diagnoses, 501 negative testing). Using only inputs generated at the echocardiogram visit, LR reached a balanced top-3 accuracy 0.758 (chance 0.429). Serial records, radiology notes and ICD-10 codes, raised this to 0.809. Multimodal fusion performed similarly at each stage. With a genetic condition withheld from training, the fusion embedding placed affected children nearest to others sharing a gene group in 0.37 of cases versus 0.10 without the embedding (+0.268 [95% CI +0.242, +0.295]). Conclusions Routine clinical data available at first echocardiogram can help identify likely genetic diagnoses, and later coded inputs ceiling. Multimodal fusion added no accuracy over LR, but places children sharing a genetic cause near one another, making nearest-neighbor retrieval informative for undiagnosed children.
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Caiola et al. (2026) conducted a cohort in Congenital heart disease (n=1,720). Class-balanced logistic regression and multimodal deep learning fusion models using echocardiographic and clinical data vs. Chance baseline or unimodal/non-embedded inputs was evaluated on Balanced top-3 accuracy for predicting common-7 genetic syndromes using inputs available at the first echocardiogram visit (95% CI 0.721 to 0.796). Routine echocardiographic and clinical data at the first visit identified likely genetic conditions in children with CHD with a balanced top-3 accuracy of 0.758 (95% CI 0.721-0.796) vs 0.429 chance.
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