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States are increasingly using workforce-oriented performance-based funding (PBF) to fund higher education and incentivize colleges and universities to improve students’ postgraduation outcomes. In this study we use detailed up-to-date data on workforce-oriented PBF policies in the United States combined with publicly available College Scorecard data to estimate the effect of PBF on students’ return on investment, as measured by debt-to-earnings ratios and loan default rates. We find that workforce-oriented PBF has minimal effects on students’ debt-to-earnings ratios and loan defaults except at historically Black colleges and universities, where we find suggestive evidence that workforce-oriented PBF reduced student debt.
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Zahran et al. (2026) studied this question.
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