The Russian leasing market under sanctions

Subject. This article considers the leasing market as a boundary between the real and financial sectors of the economy, and investments in leasing. Objectives. The article aims to develop a methodology for forecasting the volume of the Russian leasing market. Methods. For the study, we used the methods of mathematical modeling. Results. The article describes a modern architecture of the Russian leasing market, and presents author-developed scenarios for the leasing market’s development. The article confirms a direct dependence between the overall economic situation in the country and the leasing market volume, and offers a methodology for forecasting the volume of net investments in leasing, enabling Russian leasing companies to create a relevant business model. Conclusions. The implementation of State programmes to support the leasing market under sanctions is of great importance to the national economy. The development of the leasing market contributes to the increased resilience of the Russian economy.