Framework for Demand Side Sufficiency in Global CO2 Mitigation

While global climate mitigation has historically focused on efficiency (doing more with less), current IPCC pathways and ecological boundary data suggest that technical gains alone are insufficient to meet the 1.5°C Paris Agreement goals. This research introduces a transition framework toward demand-side sufficiency—the practice of prioritizing absolute reductions in resource and energy consumption through structural and behavioral shifts.Leveraging twelve years of professional expertise in predictive modeling and large-scale data analytics, this study evaluates the "material footprint" of current consumption patterns against finite global CO2 budgets. The work plan moves beyond marginal efficiency gains to model absolute reduction strategies in high-impact sectors. By integrating socio-economic indicators with environmental thresholds, the research proposes a scalable methodology for "sufficiency-first" policy design. The findings aim to provide policymakers with a robust, data-backed alternative to traditional growth-dependent mitigation models, ensuring that climate action remains within safe planetary boundaries.