Transport infrastructure serves as a critical physical carrier for constructing a unified national market and promoting coordinated regional economic development. Addressing the practical contradiction between rapid transport network expansion and persistent regional development imbalances, this paper constructs a comprehensive transport infrastructure service efficiency index using panel data from 297 prefecture-level cities in China from 2010 to 2023. We systematically investigate the nonlinear impact and underlying mechanisms of transport infrastructure on inter-city economic disparities. The findings reveal a significant inverted U-shaped relationship between transport infrastructure construction and regional economic disparity. Specifically, in the early stages of transport development, the dominance of the agglomeration effect leads to widening regional gaps; once a specific threshold is crossed (an index value of approximately 0.274), the diffusion effect emerges, facilitating convergence. This nonlinear relationship exhibits significant regional heterogeneity: the eastern region has largely crossed the inflection point into the convergence phase, while the western region remains in the “climbing” period dominated by polarization effects. Mechanism testing indicates that labor factor allocation is the core driver of this inverted U-shaped evolution. This study not only clarifies the dynamic boundaries of transport infrastructure’s impact on regional economic patterns but also provides empirical evidence for formulating differentiated transport and regional coordination policies for regions at different developmental stages.
Jia et al. (Tue,) studied this question.