Determinants of Household Transition of Cooking Fuel in Energy-Rich Peripheries: Evidence from Mozambique

Despite Mozambique’s substantial natural gas reserves, most households rely on solid biomass for cooking, with serious consequences for public health, livelihoods, and the environment. The domestic use of these resources could improve energy efficiency, security, and sustainable development. This mixed-methods study uses household interviews, descriptive statistics, multinomial, and conditional logit models, analyzing data from a random survey of 434 households in energy-rich peripheries of northern Inhambane and Maputo City to ascertain the determinants of household cooking energy choice. Results reveal that rising income increases the odds of choosing electricity, LPG, and biomass over natural gas. In energy-rich peripheries, the odds of selecting biomass over natural gas are reduced by 96.2% compared to non-energy-rich regions. Educational and urban habitation are positively correlated with the adoption of electricity and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). Price serves as a significant negative predictor of fuel selection (OR ≈ 0.000001), whereby each unit increase in price per GJ substantially diminishes the likelihood of opting for alternatives over domestic gas. Monthly fuel expenditure positively predicts electricity, LPG, and biomass adoption (OR = 1.0042), with effects accumulating meaningfully across realistic spending ranges. Households that experienced energy system incidents were more than twice as likely to switch away from natural gas (OR = 2.072), reflecting the critical role of infrastructure reliability in fuel choice. Given natural gas’s potential as a clean cooking transition fuel, the government should prioritize investment in gas infrastructure, expand domestic supply, and promote public awareness of the health and environmental benefits of clean cooking energy.