Greenhouse gas emissions at the local scale result from interactions between energy systems, land use, and socio-economic activities. This study quantifies emissions in Ait Youssef Ou Ali Municipality (Morocco) for 2024 using the IPCC 2006 methodology, combining sectoral analysis, gas characterization, and scenario-based projections. Total emissions reach 43.38 Gg CO2eq, with a strong dominance of the energy sector (46.56 Gg CO2eq), driven by industrial activities, road transport, and public lighting. In contrast, the AFOLU sector acts as a net carbon sink (−7.01 Gg CO2eq) due to vegetation and soil carbon sequestration. The waste sector contributes 3.75 Gg CO2eq, mainly through methane emissions from solid waste. CO2 represents the largest share of emissions, while CH4 and N2O remain lower in volume but significant due to their higher global warming potential. Scenario analysis highlights divergent trajectories. Under a Business As Usual scenario, emissions increase to 51.63 Gg CO2eq by 2030. Under a mitigation scenario aligned with national targets (−17%), emissions stabilize at 42.85 Gg CO2eq, avoiding 8.78 Gg CO2eq. The results show that emission dynamics are strongly influenced by territorial structure and policy intervention. Effective mitigation requires targeted actions in energy systems, transport, waste management, and carbon sequestration. Local inventories thus provide a critical basis for climate planning and territorially adapted mitigation strategies..
Thaiki et al. (Mon,) studied this question.
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