Research Progress and Prospects of Methods for Estimating Methane Reserves in Closed Coal Mines in China

The accurate estimation of methane reserves in closed coal mines is crucial for supporting clean energy recovery and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. This study addresses the technical challenges associated with complex geological conditions and limited post-closure data in China’s closed mines. Three mainstream estimation methods—the material balance, resource composition, and decline curve—are systematically reviewed and applied to a case study in the Huoxi Coalfield. Results indicate that the material balance method provides upper-bound estimates but is highly sensitive to incomplete historical data, whereas the resource composition method yields more conservative and geologically realistic values. Although the decline curve method is not applied in this case, it offers potential for forecasting when long-term monitoring data are available. A multi-method integration approach, supported by enhanced data archiving and uncertainty assessments, is recommended to improve the accuracy and reliability of methane reserve evaluations in post-mining environments.