Forecasting Political Risk: A Comparative Analysis of Time Series Prediction Methods

Key Points

• This research aims to compare various time series prediction methods for forecasting political risk.
• Conducted a comparative analysis of different time series prediction techniques.
• Utilized historical data on political events and economic indicators.
• Evaluated the predictive accuracy of each method using statistical measures.
• Identified which time series methods provided the most accurate political risk forecasts.
• Demonstrated significant differences in performance among the prediction techniques.