Air-to-water heat pumps (ASHPs) are a key technology for residential heating decarbonization; however, their seasonal performance is highly sensitive to outdoor temperature variability. Although thermal energy storage (TES) is widely recognized as a means of improving system efficiency, reported performance gains vary due to differences in climatic datasets, control strategies, and modeling assumptions. This study presents a systematic multi-year assessment of the impact of a water-based TES tank on the seasonal performance of a residential ASHP under measured microclimatic conditions. Hourly simulations were conducted for a single-family house at three locations in eastern Croatia using eight years (2018–2025) of measured meteorological data. Building characteristics, system configuration, and operating strategy were kept identical to isolate the influence of storage volume. TES integration reduced annual electricity consumption by 4.8–9.1%, with a multi-year average reduction of 7.02%, and consistently increased the seasonal coefficient of performance (SCOP) across all analyzed years and locations. The highest relative improvements occurred under less favorable microclimatic conditions, emphasizing the importance of diurnal temperature distribution rather than seasonal averages alone. A parametric analysis identified an optimal storage volume of approximately 1000–1500 L when both energy and economic indicators are considered. The results demonstrate that stable and reproducible seasonal efficiency gains can be achieved through a simple, non-predictive operating strategy under continental climatic variability.
Đuranović et al. (Fri,) studied this question.