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April 3, 2021Cardiovascular Diabetology519 citationsOpen Access

Triglyceride–glucose index and the incidence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases: a meta-analysis of cohort studies

XDXiaobo DingXWXiaozhen WangJWJing Wu

Key Result

Participants with the highest triglyceride-glucose index category had a significantly higher risk of incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases compared to those with the lowest category (HR 1.61).

Study Design

Type

Meta-Analysis (n=5,731,294)

Structured PICO

Does a higher triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index predict the incidence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases in people without ASCVDs at baseline?

P
Population
8 cohort studies comprising 5,731,294 adult participants without atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVDs) at baseline. Mean ages varied from 46 to 71 years, and the proportion of male participants ranged from 32% to 80%.
I
Intervention
Highest category of triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index (or per 1-unit increment of TyG index)
C
Comparator
Lowest category of triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index
O
Outcome
Incidence of ASCVDs (composite of coronary artery disease, stroke, and peripheral artery disease)composite

A higher triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is independently associated with an increased risk of incident ASCVDs, CAD, and stroke in individuals without prior cardiovascular disease, suggesting its potential utility as a risk predictor.

Main Result

Effect estimate: HR 1.61 (95% CI 1.29-2.01)

p-value: p=<0.001

Limitations

  • A limited number of studies was available for this meta-analysis, and significant heterogeneity was detected among them.
  • It remains unknown whether the association between the TyG index and an increased risk of ASCVDs is linear and what the optimal cut-off value is.
  • Residual confounding factors possibly affecting the association, such as dietary and nutritional factors, could not be excluded.
  • A causative association between the TyG index and the incidence of ASCVDs cannot be implied because the meta-analysis was based on cohort studies.
  • Limited number of datasets available with significant heterogeneity
  • Unknown whether the association between the TyG index and an increased risk of ASCVDs is linear and what the optimal cut-off value is
  • Residual confounding factors (e.g., dietary and nutritional factors) could not be excluded
  • Causative association cannot be implied due to the cohort design of included studies

Abstract

Abstract Background Insulin resistance has been demonstrated to be involved in the pathogenesis of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVDs). This study evaluated the association between the triglyceride–glucose (TyG) index, a novel surrogate indicator of insulin resistance, and the incidence of ASCVDs in people without ASCVDs at baseline by performing a meta-analysis. Methods Cohort studies reporting the multivariate-adjusted association between the TyG index and the incidence of ASCVDs were obtained by searching the PubMed and Embase databases. A random-effects model incorporating intra-study heterogeneity was applied to combine the results. Results Eight cohort studies comprising 5,731,294 participants were included in this meta-analysis. The results showed that compared to those with the lowest TyG index category, participants with the highest TyG index category were independently associated with a higher risk of ASCVDs hazard ratio (HR): 1.61, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.29–2.01, I 2 = 80%, P 0.05). Moreover, participants with the highest TyG index category were independently associated with a higher risk of coronary artery disease [(CAD), HR: 1.95, 95% CI 1.47–2.58, I 2 = 92%, P < 0.001 and stroke (HR: 1.26, 95% CI 1.23–1.29, I 2 = 0%, P < 0.001). Conclusions A higher TyG index may be independently associated with a higher incidence of ASCVDs, CAD, and stroke in people without ASCVDs at baseline.

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Cite This Study

Ding et al. (2021) conducted a meta-analysis in Atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVDs) (n=5,731,294). Highest TyG index category vs. Lowest TyG index category was evaluated on Incidence of ASCVDs (HR 1.61, 95% CI 1.29-2.01, p=<0.001). Participants with the highest triglyceride-glucose index category had a significantly higher risk of incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases compared to those with the lowest category (HR 1.61).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a0ded76e51d8d6d0c09e272https://doi.org/10.1186/s12933-021-01268-9
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