PulseExploreJournal ClubDebatesTrendingResearchersJournals
Instagram
HomeExploreJournal ClubTrending
Synapse
⌘+K
Synapse
June 1, 20260 citationsOpen Access

The Infrastructure Concentration Index (ICI): Measuring the Expansion of U.S. State Data Infrastructure, 2002-2025

View Full Paper
MPMarco Perugini

Key Points

  • The aim is to develop the Infrastructure Concentration Index (ICI) to track the evolution of U.S. state data infrastructure from 2002 to 2025.
  • Created ICI using six federal data series from 2002 to 2025.
  • Analyzed notable changes, including step increases and plateau phases.
  • Documented breaks and trends in the data, emphasizing structural capacity.
  • Observed a +34-point increase in ICI from 2004–2005.
  • ICI remained stable, plateauing between 2005–2012 with values of 40–55.
  • Synchronized acceleration in ICI from 2013–2024, reaching approximately 90.

Abstract

The US federal state doubled its data-infrastructure control in two steps, not gradually. We build the Infrastructure Concentration Index (ICI), 2002–2025, from six primary federal series: FBI biometric records (NGI/IAFIS), FinCEN SARs, DHS biometric entry, FISA §702 targets, FERC energy-market centralization, and NITRD compute investment. All series are labeled FATTO/INFERENZA/SPECULAZIONE with documented breaks. Three findings: (1) a +34-point step in 2004–2005 (IDENT + MISO), (2) plateau 2005–2012 (ICI 40–55), (3) synchronized acceleration 2013–2024 to ICI ~90. A Chow break at 2012.8 is significant (F=4.5, p<0.01). The pattern is bipartisan and measures structural capacity, not surveillance use. Replication data, code, and series documentation are provided.

Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper

Cite This Study

Marco Perugini (2026) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a1d236002fbce9130639057https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20454603
Ask AI
Helpful
Bookmark
Share
View Full Paper