What is the population attributable fraction of stroke due to hypertension, atrial fibrillation, and smoking in middle-aged and elderly people?
Smoking and hypertension are major population-level contributors to stroke in middle-aged individuals, whereas atrial fibrillation is the primary significant contributor in the elderly.
We determined the population attributable fraction (PAF) of stroke due to hypertension (HT), atrial fibrillation (Af) and smoking in a Japanese community. Residents of Shibata (n = 2,302) who were surveyed initially in 1977 were followed until 1997. Two hundred and thirteen first strokes occurred. Among those 40-64 years of age, the risk ratio (RR) of Af was 11.24, followed by untreated HT (3.61), uncontrolled HT (3.69) and smoking (1.84). The PAFs, however, were 14.9% for smoking, 13.5% for untreated HT, 8.6% for uncontrolled HT and 3.6% for Af. Among those over 65 years, only Af was significant (RR 3.89) and the PAF was 6.0%. Determination of PAFs is also essential for designing effective stroke prevention programs in communities.
Nakayama et al. (Sat,) studied this question.