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New δ 13 C data are presented from 10 coral skeletons collected from Florida and elsewhere in the Caribbean (Dominica, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico, and Belize). These corals range from 96 to 200 years in age and were collected between 1976 and 2002. The change in the δ 13 C of the skeletons from these corals between 1900 and 1990 has been compared with 27 other published coral records from the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian Oceans. The new data presented here make possible, for the first time, a global comparison of rates of change in the δ 13 C value of coral skeletons. Of these records, 64% show a statistically significant (p < 0.05) decrease in δ 13 C towards the modern day (23 out of 37). This decrease is attributable to the addition of anthropogenically derived CO 2 ( 13 C Suess effect) to the atmosphere. Between 1900 and 1990, the average rate of change of the δ 13 C in all the coral skeletons living under open oceanic conditions is approximately −0.01‰ yr −1 . In the Atlantic Ocean the magnitude of the decrease since 1960,−0.019 yr −1 ±0.015‰, is essentially the same as the decrease in the δ 13 C of atmospheric CO 2 and the δ 13 C of the oceanic dissolved inorganic carbon (−0.023 to −0.029‰ yr −1 ), while in the Pacific and Indian Oceans the rate is more variable and significantly reduced (−0.007‰ yr −1 ±0.013). These data strongly support the notion that (i) the δ 13 C of the atmosphere controls ambient δ 13 C of the dissolved inorganic carbon which in turn is reflected in the coral skeletons, (ii) the rate of decline in the coral skeletons is higher in oceans with a greater anthropogenic CO 2 inventory in the surface oceans, (iii) the rate of δ 13 C decline is accelerating. Superimposed on these secular variations are controls on the δ 13 C in the skeleton governed by growth rate, insolation, and local water masses.
Swart et al. (Mon,) studied this question.