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July 20, 2026Archives of Public Health0 citationsOpen Access

Ischemic heart disease mortality with documented tobacco use in the United States, 1999–2023: a nationwide population-based analysis

AIAlyaa Ahmed IbrahimZTZuha TariqASAbdul Samad

Key Result

Ischemic heart disease mortality with documented tobacco use in the US increased significantly from 1999 to 2023, with the age-adjusted rate rising from 3.90 to 32.37 per 100,000 (AAPC 10.71; p<0.01).

Key Points

  • This analysis aims to investigate trends in ischemic heart disease mortality associated with tobacco use in the U.S. over 24 years.
  • Analyzed CDC mortality data for adults aged ≥ 25 years with ischemic heart disease and documented tobacco use from 1999 to 2023.
  • Calculated age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 population.
  • Utilized joinpoint regression to determine annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) in mortality rates.
  • A total of 1,497,919 deaths were reported between 1999 and 2023.
  • AAMR rose significantly from 3.90 to 32.37, with an AAPC of 10.71 (p < 0.01).
  • Mortality rates were notably higher in males (39.68) compared to females (14.05), with the highest rates among Non-Hispanic Whites (26.86).

Study Design

Type

Observational (n=1,497,919)

Multicenter

Yes

Structured PICO

P
Population
1,497,919 deaths among US adults aged ≥ 25 years with ischemic heart disease and documented tobacco use analyzed from 1999 to 2023.
O
Outcome
Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 population and trends (annual percent change and average annual percent change) from 1999 to 2023hard clinical

Ischemic heart disease mortality associated with documented tobacco use has risen sharply in the US from 1999 to 2023, disproportionately affecting older adults, males, and rural populations.

Main Result

Effect estimate: AAPC 10.71

p-value: p=< 0.01

Abstract

Abstract Background Tobacco use is a major risk factor for ischemic heart disease (IHD), substantially increasing the likelihood of myocardial infarction, stroke, and premature mortality. This study examined U.S. trends in IHD mortality with documented tobacco use disorder from 1999 to 2023. Methods CDC mortality data for adults aged ≥ 25 years with IHD (ICD-10 codes: I20–I25) and documented tobacco use (ICD-10 code: F17) listed as contributing causes of death were analyzed. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 population were calculated. Joinpoint regression was used to estimate annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC). Results From 1999 to 2023, 1,497,919 deaths were reported. The AAMR rose from 3.90 to 32.37 (AAPC: 10.71; p < 0.01). Males had a higher AAMR (39.68; AAPC: 10.72) than females (14.05; AAPC: 10.77). Non-Hispanic (NH) Whites had the highest AAMR (26.86), followed by American Indians (25.43), NH Blacks (19.77), and Hispanics (10.38). The Midwest had the highest regional AAMR (32.96). Most deaths occurred in inpatient facilities (27.9%). Adults aged ≥ 65 years had the highest mortality rate (CMR: 92.16). Rural areas exceeded urban (35.73 vs. 22.95). Conclusion IHD mortality with documented tobacco use has risen sharply, disproportionately affecting older adults, males, rural areas, the Midwest, and NH Whites.

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Cite This Study

Ibrahim et al. (2026) conducted an observational in Ischemic heart disease with documented tobacco use (n=1,497,919). Tobacco use was evaluated on Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 population (AAPC 10.71, p=< 0.01). Ischemic heart disease mortality with documented tobacco use in the US increased significantly from 1999 to 2023, with the age-adjusted rate rising from 3.90 to 32.37 per 100,000 (AAPC 10.71; p<0.01).

synapsesocial.com/papers/6a5dba3f8bd453d3397ab827https://doi.org/10.1186/s13690-026-02013-y
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