What question did this study set out to answer?

The aim is to analyze pathways and policies to meet the EU's organic farming targets by 2030.

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April 24, 2026Open Access

Deliverable 2.1 Scenarios for the Development of the Organic Sector

Key Points

The aim is to analyze pathways and policies to meet the EU's organic farming targets by 2030.
Scenario analysis
Participatory workshops
National backcasting studies
Current trajectories may only achieve 12%-19% organic farmland by 2030
Structural transformations are essential to meet the Farm to Fork target
A significant increase in organic aquaculture is required.

Abstract

This Deliverable provides a comprehensive foresight analysis of the pathways and policy options for achieving the European Union’s Farm to Fork (F2F) target of 25% organic farmland and a significant increase in organic aquaculture by 2030. Drawing on scenario analysis, participatory workshops, and national backcasting studies, the report demonstrates that current business-as-usual trajectories are insufficient: projections indicate that, without structural transformation, the organic share of agricultural land in the EU will plateau between 12% and 19%, falling short of the F2F ambition.

Deliverable 2.1 Scenarios for the Development of the Organic Sector

Key Points

Abstract

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