Low-Carbon Transition Pathways for Resource-Rich Cities: An Analysis Based on the LEAP Model

Key Points

• This analysis aims to explore the low-carbon transition of resource-rich cities in China, focusing on its impacts on CO2 emissions and economic costs.
• Utilized the LEAP model to assess energy structure and intensity in Yulin City, China.
• Evaluated changes in factors like economic activity and urbanization on CO2 emissions.
• Examined willingness of businesses to adopt carbon capture technologies.
• Yulin's energy demand and CO2 emissions are projected to continue rising, primarily from industrial and electricity sectors contributing over 80%.
• Economic costs for the low-carbon transition will increase but significantly drop post-2040 with coal unit phase-outs.
• Business willingness to adopt CCUS is low due to lack of technical understanding and high implementation costs.