Circulating influenza strains, vaccine effectiveness (VE), and vaccine recommendations vary over time. A systematic literature review (SLR), random effects meta-analysis (REMA), and network meta-analysis (NMA) estimated absolute VE (aVE) and relative VE (rVE) of LAIV and IIV in children/adolescents from initial LAIV approval in 2003. Northern Hemisphere studies (2003-2023) with children ≤19 yrs were included. A modified Newcastle-Ottawa Scale assessed risk-of-bias. REMA estimated aVE and three-node NMA (LAIV-IIV-unvaccinated) estimated rVE over three periods: 2003-04 to 2008-09 (pre-2009 A(H1N1) pandemic); 2010-11 to 2016-17 (post-2009 pandemic); 2017-18 to 2022-23 (post-LAIV strain-selection optimization). 109 studies included. aVE of LAIV and IIV against any influenza was similar (~50%) in each period. Effectiveness of LAIV vs. IIV against influenza types/subtypes was comparable except: (1) greater effectiveness with IIV for A(H1N1) in 2010-11 to 2016-17 (rVE -46% 95% CI: -57, -33); (2) greater effectiveness with LAIV for influenza B in 2017-18 to 2022-23 (rVE 196% 95% CI: 73, 406). In 2017-18 to 2022-23, effectiveness of LAIV and IIV against A(H1N1) was similar (rVE 10% 95% CI: -35, 87). LAIV and IIV have demonstrated comparable effectiveness against any influenza in children.
Stuurman et al. (2025) studied this question.