Natural language processing predicts Glasgow Coma Scale scores in over 55,000 patients, indicating utility for critical care research.
BACKGROUND Multicenter electronic health records (EHR) can support quality improvement and comparative effectiveness research in critical care. However, limitations of EHR-based research include challenges in abstracting key clinical variables, including a patient’s level of consciousness. OBJECTIVE The objective of our study was to develop a natural language processing (NLP) model to predict the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores from daily EHR notes. METHODS The study included adult patients (≥18 years) admitted to Massachusetts General Brigham (MGB) hospitals (2017-2024) and patients from the MIMIC-III database (Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-MIMIC III 2001-2012) v1.4. A dataset with daily notes, age, sex, admission type, of all patients from both institutions was split into train/hold-out test (70%/30%) sets. We trained an ordinal regression model “ordinalNet” with an elastic net penalty to predict the lowest daily score among three levels: severe (GCS 3-8), moderate (GCS 9-12) and mild (GCS 13-15). Model performance was assessed in the hold-out test set (MGB+MIMIC) using areas under the receiver characteristic curve (AUROC) and precision-recall curve (AUPRC). RESULTS Our modeling cohort included 55,285 patients (MGB =36,696; MIMIC =18,589) with 122,010 days of hospitalization; average age 64 [SD 17] years; 56% male, and 76% White. The ordinalNet achieved AUROC and AUPRC [95% CI]: MGB + MIMIC – 0.91 [0.91-0.91] and 0.84 [0.83-0.84]; MGB – 0.91 [0.90-0.91] and 0.83 [0.82-0.84]; MIMIC –0.91 [0.90-0.91] and 0.83 [0.83-0.84]. The model predicted severe GCS 3-8 with AUROC and AUPRC of 0.97 [0.97-0.97] and 0.94 [0.93-0.94]. CONCLUSIONS Our NLP-based model can enable large-scale phenotyping of neurological assessments and critical care research studies.
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