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This research defines good fire weather, highlighting its importance for beneficial fire outcomes and improved forecasting.
Extreme fire weather receives substantial attention from the weather enterprise, yet conditions allowing readily manageable fire, or ’good fire weather’ remains less studied with no formal definition. Here, we define good fire weather as ”the set of atmospheric conditions before, during, and following ignition allowing wildland fire to achieve beneficial outcomes while minimizing hazards from fire and smoke.”We explain beneficial fire outcomes and share examples of the multiscalar challenges in observing and forecasting good fire weather to inform decision making using schematics and a case study. Guidance for how the weather enterprise can support good fire forecasting is provided.
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Hatchett et al. (2025) studied this question.
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