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August 11, 2025Deleted Journal

Medal Prediction for the Olympic Games Based on Grey Prediction Model and Markov Chain

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CLChunyu Liu

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Overview

Analysis predicts medal counts and winning probabilities for countries in the 2028 Olympics, highlighting sports specialization's role in success.

Key Points

  • The study predicts total and gold medal counts for the 2028 Olympics using a grey prediction model and markov chain, emphasizing historical data.
  • Models indicate probable rankings and the likelihood of first-time medal winners based on historical performance data and athlete metrics.
  • Data analysis employed includes handling missing values and estimating uncertainties through monte carlo simulations, enhancing prediction accuracy.
  • Findings suggest that sports specialization considerably impacts medal success, highlighting the importance of strategic event selection.

Cite This Study

Chunyu Liu (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68a35ee30a429f79733279f2https://doi.org/10.54097/x9nt5p75
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