The Methodology of Forecasting the Residual of the Elements of the Pneumatic- And Hydraulic High Based on a Physico-Statistical Model

The article examines complex technosphere objects – technical systems of ground space infrastructure facilities, which include pneumatic- and hydraulic high pressure pipelines. Taking into account the need to implement a set of measures to prevent emergency situations arising during emergency operation of these technosphere objects, methods are shown for predicting the residual resource of system components, timely partial replacement of elements of technological equipment and their repair, the result of which is an increase in the period of trouble-free operation of space infrastructure facilities objects. The relevance of the development of a methodology for forecasting the elements of pneumatic and hydraulic high pressure pipelines based on a physical statistical model «load bearing capacity» is substantiated. On the basis of the presented methodology, calculations were made of the values of the safely factor, the probability of trouble free operation, the average and gamma percent of the specified equipment. The practical significance of the presented methodology for managing the trouble-free operation of space infrastructure facilities facilities is shown.