August 16, 2025Journal of Political Economy

The Nature of Long-Term Unemployment: Predictability, Heterogeneity and Selection

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Long-term unemployment shows significant predictability, indicating patterns that can be anticipated over time.
The study highlights various effects on different populations, meaning experiences of unemployment can vary widely.
Analysis combines quantitative data and theoretical frameworks to explore unemployment dynamics in-depth.
Findings point to the importance of considering individual characteristics when addressing unemployment challenges.

Implication

Analysis reveals predictability in long-term unemployment trends, suggesting heterogeneous effects across different groups.

Abstract

Next article No AccessThe Nature of Long-Term Unemployment: Predictability, Heterogeneity and SelectionAndreas I. Mueller and Johannes SpinnewijnAndreas I. Mueller and Johannes SpinnewijnPDFPDF PLUS Add to favoritesDownload CitationTrack CitationsPermissionsReprints Share onFacebookXLinkedInRedditBlueskyEmailPrint SectionsMoreDetailsFiguresReferencesCited by Journal of Political Economy Just Accepted Article DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1086/738045 PermissionsRequest permissions Views: 10Total views on this site HistoryAccepted July 10, 2025 © 2025 The University of Chicago. All Rights reserved.PDF download Crossref reports no articles citing this article.

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Cite This Study

Mueller et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68a3669b0a429f797332c36c https://doi.org/10.1086/738045

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Implication

Analysis reveals predictability in long-term unemployment trends, suggesting heterogeneous effects across different groups.

The Nature of Long-Term Unemployment: Predictability, Heterogeneity and Selection

Key Points

Implication

Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

The Nature of Long-Term Unemployment: Predictability, Heterogeneity and Selection

Key Points

Implication

Abstract

Discussion

Cite This Study

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