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Game Theoretic Assessment of Turkey’s Role as a Transit Country amid a Changing EU’s Energy Policy

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Turkey plays a critical role in EU natural gas supply strategy during the Ukraine crisis, ensuring access to the market.
Game theory analysis shows the incremental benefits of the EU's diversification policy for gas imports remain modest.
The critical dependency on Turkey for natural gas could restrict other regions' access without adequate alternatives.
Geographical and political challenges make the construction of new pipelines to bypass Turkey highly impractical.

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Game theory reveals Turkey's bargaining power in natural gas supply for the EU, highlighting geopolitical challenges.

Lee et al. (2025) studied this question.

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